Momentum Factor

A systematic tendency for assets with strong recent performance to continue outperforming over 3-12 months.

Quantitative Finance

Definition

The momentum factor is one of the strongest and most persistent anomalies in finance. Assets that have performed well over the past 3-12 months tend to continue outperforming, while poor performers continue underperforming. Momentum generates 8-12% annual excess return historically but suffers occasional "momentum crashes" during market reversals. The academic consensus attributes momentum to behavioral biases (underreaction, herding).

lightbulb Example

A momentum strategy ranks all stocks by 12-month return (excluding last month). It buys the top decile and shorts the bottom decile. Historically, this spread returns 8-12% annually, though with occasional sharp drawdowns during market reversals.

verified_user Key Points

  • One of the strongest documented factor premiums
  • Works across asset classes and geographies
  • Subject to "momentum crashes" during reversals
  • Attributed to behavioral biases (underreaction, herding)

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