Position Sizing

Determining the appropriate dollar amount or number of shares to invest in a single trade or position.

Risk Management

Definition

Position sizing is one of the most critical risk management decisions. Methods include fixed dollar amounts, fixed percentage of portfolio, volatility-based sizing (adjusting for asset risk), and Kelly criterion (mathematically optimal sizing). Proper position sizing ensures no single trade can catastrophically damage the portfolio.

functions Formula

Kelly % = (bp − q) / b

Kelly: b = win/loss ratio, p = win probability, q = 1-p

lightbulb Example

Portfolio is $100K. Using 2% risk rule with a stop loss 5% below entry: position size = $100K × 2% / 5% = $40K. This limits each trade's maximum loss to $2K (2% of portfolio).

verified_user Key Points

  • Critical risk management decision
  • 2% rule: risk no more than 2% of portfolio per trade
  • Volatility-based sizing adjusts for asset risk
  • Kelly criterion gives mathematically optimal size

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