Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

A valuation model that prices a stock as the present value of all expected future dividends.

Valuation & Pricing

Definition

The DDM values equity by discounting expected future dividends to present value. The Gordon Growth Model (constant growth DDM) is the simplest version, assuming dividends grow at a constant rate forever. Multi-stage DDMs accommodate different growth phases. DDM works best for stable, mature dividend payers like utilities and consumer staples.

functions Formula

P = D₁ / (r − g)

lightbulb Example

Expected dividend next year is $3.00, required return is 10%, dividend growth rate is 4%. P = $3.00 / (0.10 - 0.04) = $50.00 fair value.

verified_user Key Points

  • Best for stable dividend-paying companies
  • Gordon Growth Model assumes constant growth forever
  • Multi-stage DDM handles different growth phases
  • Requires dividend growth rate less than discount rate

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